![[info]](http://l-stat.livejournal.com/img/userinfo.gif){kind=small}
09:16 pm - All In -- a last look at VP picks
You should be getting your text message any day now. As such, many people have been making their last, best guesses as to who will be Barack Obama's running mate -- trying to figure out exactly what the campaign's strategy will be, since the VP pick gives an idea of what they think their own strengths and weaknesses are. The betting markets say Bayh, Biden and Kaine are the likeliest. Here are my guesses:
1. Gen. Wesley Clark -- a southern guy and Clinton ally, he has more military cred than McCain, and he was against the war from the beginning.
2. Sen. Joe Biden -- he's smart, knows foreign policy, would make a good "attack dog" veep; there seems to be a growing consensus that he's the likeliest pick.
3. Gov. Brian Schweitzer -- he has been my favorite dark horse for the last few months. I have this nagging suspicion that Obama might pull him out of the hat. He's affable, avuncular, articulate, progressive; hails from a new, albeit small, swing state (Montana); and he gels with this whole "new politics" vibe of Obama. You can see that rhetoric in full display in this video. I would love to see this guy get it, but the foreign policy expertise is lacking.
4. Gov. Kathleen Sebelius -- people seem to think she would make a great candidate, although I'm not sure why. Sebelius has done good work as the progressive governor of a very conservative state (Kansas), but she seems a bit stiff and does not seem to help on the variables of foreign policy, winning a swing state, etc. If Kos and Nate Silver think she would be a good pick, though, there must be something to it. (That being said, my friend Antonio noted that Obama-Sebelius sounds like a character from Star Wars.)
5. Sen. Hillary Clinton -- as hard as it would be to do this now, picking her might completely nuke McCain out of consideration by rallying the discontented in Ohio, Florida, etc.
1. Gen. Wesley Clark -- a southern guy and Clinton ally, he has more military cred than McCain, and he was against the war from the beginning.
2. Sen. Joe Biden -- he's smart, knows foreign policy, would make a good "attack dog" veep; there seems to be a growing consensus that he's the likeliest pick.
3. Gov. Brian Schweitzer -- he has been my favorite dark horse for the last few months. I have this nagging suspicion that Obama might pull him out of the hat. He's affable, avuncular, articulate, progressive; hails from a new, albeit small, swing state (Montana); and he gels with this whole "new politics" vibe of Obama. You can see that rhetoric in full display in this video. I would love to see this guy get it, but the foreign policy expertise is lacking.
4. Gov. Kathleen Sebelius -- people seem to think she would make a great candidate, although I'm not sure why. Sebelius has done good work as the progressive governor of a very conservative state (Kansas), but she seems a bit stiff and does not seem to help on the variables of foreign policy, winning a swing state, etc. If Kos and Nate Silver think she would be a good pick, though, there must be something to it. (That being said, my friend Antonio noted that Obama-Sebelius sounds like a character from Star Wars.)
5. Sen. Hillary Clinton -- as hard as it would be to do this now, picking her might completely nuke McCain out of consideration by rallying the discontented in Ohio, Florida, etc.